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Sebastian Korda vs Alex De Minaur Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Korda vs Minaur analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Sebastian Korda vs Alex De Minaur Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Korda 1 - 2 Minaur

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Korda has won 49.59% of points on their second serve, while Minaur has won 56.19%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Korda, in recent form, has won 50.55% of their opponent's second serve points, while Minaur has won 55.86%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.89% and 35.04% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Korda has saved 57.89% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Minaur has saved 62.25% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Korda has won 56.36% of matches played (W/L 31/ 24), with Minaur winning 70.24% (W/L 59/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Korda has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 61% (W/L 37/ 24), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 80/ 57). Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 65/ 50).
  • Player level: In the last year, Korda has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11), where as Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Korda winning 1 times and Minaur being victorious 2 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Korda winning 4 and Minaur winning 5. The last match between Korda and Minaur was at the ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam, 13-02-2024, First, I.hard with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-4 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:29:56.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Korda and Minaur have played a deciding set 1 times, with Korda winning 0 times and Minaur 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Korda winning 1, and Minaur 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Korda has played against opponents with an average rank of 113.31 while Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 83.45.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Korda has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Minaur has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Korda has converted 40.2% of breakpoint opportunities, and Minaur has converted 46.11% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Sebastian Korda

3

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

0

Minor

28

Rank

23

High

23

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

1

Grass

0

11

Rank

9

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Alex De Minaur

10

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

1

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

2

1

Grass

0

W L L W L W L W W L

Form

W L L W W L W W W W

60% (222-150)

Career Total W/L

63% (339-195)

54% (15-13)

YTD W/L

74% (29-10)

$3,749,750

Career Prize Money

$9,000,855

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Korda VS Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Sebastian Korda Alex De Minaur
All H2H Matches 1 2
Sets Won 4 5
Games Won 46 48
Aces (Total) 33 10
DFs (Total) 7 12
Avg Match Time 2:29:56 2:29:56
1st Serve % 62% (199/320) 64% (209/325)
1st Serve Win% 73% (145/199) 71% (148/209)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (62/121) 52% (60/116)
BPs Won% (Total) 17% (6/36) 25% (7/28)
Return Points W% 36% (117/325) 35% (113/320)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)

Korda VS Minaur H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Sebastian Korda
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
61% ( 44 of 72)
5
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
1
87% ( 33 of 38)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 32 of 44)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
25% ( 14 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 72)
73
Total Points Won
56
6-4 4-6 6-4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Sebastian Korda
65% ( 68 of 104)
1st Serve %
63% ( 66 of 105)
2
Aces
12
4
Double Faults
2
69% ( 47 of 68)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 45 of 66)
47% ( 17 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 20 of 39)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
38% ( 40 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 40 of 105)
104
Total Points Won
105
6-3 6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(5)
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alex De Minaur
62% ( 89 of 143)
1st Serve %
63% ( 103 of 164)
10
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
7
76% ( 68 of 89)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 68 of 103)
59% ( 32 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 33 of 61)
21% ( 4 of 19)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
30% ( 43 of 143)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 63 of 164)
163
Total Points Won
144

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Sebastian Korda Alex De Minaur
YTD W/L 54% (15/13) 74% (29/10)
Sets Win/Loss 51% (37/35) 70% (69/30)
Games Win/Loss 51% (355/343) 58% (519/381)
Hard Win/Loss 57% (8/6) 75% (15/5)
Clay Win/Loss 50% (5/5) 71% (10/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (2/2) 80% (4/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.69 0.37
Aces Total 235 160
DFs per game 0.15 0.19
DFs Total 52 82
Avg Match Time 1:46:41 1:49:44
Avg Opp Rank 108.75 79.97
1st Serve % 60% (1298/2161) 55% (1452/2639)
1st Serve W% 73% (944/1298) 72% (1044/1452)
2nd Serve W% 50% (428/863) 56% (667/1187)
BPs Won% Total 40% (80/199) 46% (148/321)
Return Pts W% 37% (834/2227) 43% (1262/2927)
Slam W/L 67% (4/2) 88% (7/1)
Masters W/L 50% (5/5) 64% (9/5)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 45% (5/6) 76% (13/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (11/22) 70% (21/30)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 89% (8/9)
TBs Win% (Total) 42% (5/12) 50% (4/8)
Deciding Set W% 63% (5/8) 56% (5/9)
1st set W, W 93% (15/14) 96% (23/22)
1st set W, L 7% (15/1) 4% (23/1)
1st set L, W 8% (13/1) 44% (16/7)

Sebastian Korda Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
L
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Soon-Woo Kwon
69% ( 79 of 114)
1st Serve %
64% ( 78 of 121)
13
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65% ( 51 of 79)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 45 of 78)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 24 of 43)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
40% ( 46 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 52 of 121)
120
Total Points Won
115
W
6-4 6-4 1-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Harold Mayot
55% ( 51 of 93)
1st Serve %
63% ( 64 of 101)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
1
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
57% ( 24 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 30 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 43 of 101)
106
Total Points Won
88
W
6-2 7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Sebastian Korda
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve %
60% ( 32 of 53)
8
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
90% ( 27 of 30)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 20 of 32)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 10 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 21 of 53)
61
Total Points Won
42
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Flavio Cobolli
50% ( 50 of 101)
1st Serve %
54% ( 65 of 120)
4
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
4
78% ( 39 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 48 of 65)
59% ( 30 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 29 of 55)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 32 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 43 of 120)
112
Total Points Won
109
W
7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
66% ( 77 of 116)
1st Serve %
58% ( 59 of 101)
7
Aces
13
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 59 of 77)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 41 of 59)
51% ( 20 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
32% ( 37 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 35 of 101)
114
Total Points Won
103
L
5-7 7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Max Purcell
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve %
62% ( 41 of 66)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
93% ( 26 of 28)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
71% ( 10 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
14% ( 6 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
64
Total Points Won
44
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Sebastian Korda
70% ( 42 of 60)
1st Serve %
54% ( 28 of 52)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
57% ( 24 of 42)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
47% ( 28 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 11 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 33 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
40
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67% ( 36 of 54)
1st Serve %
74% ( 37 of 50)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 16 of 37)
44% ( 8 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
37% ( 20 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
62
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-2 H2H

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
54% ( 55 of 101)
1st Serve %
57% ( 65 of 114)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
57% ( 26 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
33% ( 33 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 52 of 114)
120
Total Points Won
95
W
4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
60% ( 84 of 141)
1st Serve %
51% ( 54 of 105)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
6
65% ( 55 of 84)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
51% ( 29 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 30 of 51)
70% ( 7 of 10)
Break Points Won
27% ( 4 of 15)
40% ( 57 of 141)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 105)
128
Total Points Won
118
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
47% ( 38 of 81)
1st Serve %
52% ( 51 of 99)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
12
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 18 of 48)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 47 of 99)
102
Total Points Won
78
W
7-5 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alex Michelsen
52% ( 32 of 62)
1st Serve %
75% ( 61 of 81)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
2
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 28 of 61)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 6 of 20)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 18 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 47 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
52
W
6-1 6-0 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
53
Total Points Won
27
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
W
6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 35 of 56)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
L
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-1 H2H

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